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What is happening to the Economy - Pensions, 401K and more. Listen to many viewpoints from top advisors...

2/25/2022

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U.S. Stock Market: Why You Should Move With Caution Despite Upside Potential

2/11/2022

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Jan. 05, 2022 8:04 AM ET
Summary
  • Without much doubt, the stock market in the United States is extremely overvalued.
  • However, when looking at the bond market, housing, initial unemployment claims, consumer sentiment or the ISM purchasing manager index, a recession seems not likely in 2022.
Nevertheless, we should move with extreme caution - even if stocks should move higher in 2022, a huge crash will occur

In December 2019, I published an article in which I argued, that the economy was completely detached from the stock market - especially in the United States. About 2.5 months later, the brutal 5-week crash and recession followed. I am referring to this article not because I predicted the stock market crash and recession (I published articles before warning about high stock market valuations), but due to the structure of this article. I used several metrics and in the following article I want to use the same metrics again and try to determine where we are in the cycle.
Valuation

About 2 years after the above-mentioned article, the stock market is even more detached from the economy as many stocks are trading for even higher prices, but the economy (or at least several sectors) must deal with the consequences of the last recession. And even when acknowledging, that we are always dealing with probabilities and should avoid words like "certain" or "without any doubt", I am as certain as I can be, that the US stock market is extremely overvalued.

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What's a Crash? What's a Correction?

2/1/2022

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Brett explains what a market crash is vs. what a market correction is. He also talks about a new graph he discovered called "The stock price to annual sales ratio" which plots how a companies stock price correlates to their annual sales, and why we need to pay attention to these ratios.  For more messages on this podcast go to PODCAST

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    Birdseye News Blog

    An Educational Source of News. This information is educational only in nature and should not be considered investment, tax or legal advice of any kind.

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Burleson, TX 76028
Main # 360-722-7889
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The content of the Birdseye Financial website, email, fax, social media, text messages, online meetings, and phone calls are for educational purposes only. Any material and its attachments, links, downloads, and/or any emails from Birdseye Financial employees/contractors are not intended to provide legal or tax advice. To ensure compliance with requirements imposed by the IRS, we inform you that any U.S. federal or state tax advice contained in communication (via Website, Email, Fax, Text, Social Media, in person, or by phone) is not intended to be used, and cannot be used, for the purpose of (i) avoiding penalties under the Internal Revenue Code or (ii) promoting, marketing, or recommending to another party any transaction or matter addressed herein. Please seek the advice of appropriately licensed individuals for legal or tax advice relating to your individual situation. Birdseye Financial and its employees/contractors are not tax, legal, or investment advisors and are not operating in such a manner. Any advice you receive should be taken as non-tax, not legal, and non-investment advice and only educational in nature. Should our clients need a licensed investment advisor, we recommend LifePro Asset Management. Please know investments in the market carry an inherent element of risk. No investment in the market or strategy can guarantee a profit or prevent a loss. Any illustrations used in the sales or service process are to be considered hypothetical and for explanatory purposes only. 

MEDICARE MANDATORY DISCLAIMER
“We do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently in WA State we represent seven organizations which offer 34 products in Snohomish County and 33 products in King County and 19 products in Whatcom County. Please contact Medicare.gov, 1-800-MEDICARE, or your local State Health Insurance Program (SHIP) to get information on all your options.” All calls regarding Medicare may be recorded by phone or online and a SCOPE of appointment required by Medicare will be obtained 48 hours prior to any sales meeting to discuss plan details. (NOTE - The organizations and plans can vary by state and county, we can validate these numbers upon request.)

Birdseye Financial and its employees/contractors are not employees/contractors of Medicare, the government, insurance company or any other agency. We are independent licensed agents. All calculators and illustrations shown or sent from our website, email or any other means are designed to be informational and educational only. They do not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to review your insurance and investment strategies periodically as your financial circumstances may change. On many products it is important to note that PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS OR INTENDED TO PREDICT ACTUAL PERFORMANCE. ACTUAL INTEREST CREDITING RESTULTS WILL VARY BASED ON MARKET CONDITIONS, INDEX ALLOCATIONS, AND INTEREST CAPS, RATES, SPREADS, PARTICIPATION RATES and possible Fees. The use of different time periods and funding amounts can cause results to differ from other products. Illustrations may be based on hypothetical historical data. 
 
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S&P 500 and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard and Poor's Financial Services LLC. No annuity or financial product discussed herein is sponsored, endorsed, sold, or promoted by Standard and Poor's Financial Services LLC, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, or their affiliates, and none of the Stand and Poor's Financial Services LLC, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, or their affiliates make any representation regarding the advisability of purchasing an insurance or financial product. This applies to all indexes used.
  • Home
  • About
    • Welcome to Birdseye
    • Who We Are
    • Risk & Portfolio Assessment
    • Request Free Consultation
  • Strategies
    • Key Components
    • Inflation Impact
    • Rule of 100
    • Sequence of Returns
    • Volatility Buffer >
      • Volatility Buffer Webinar
    • Tax Strategies >
      • Tax Free Income
      • RMD Calculator
      • IRA RMD RULES
      • ROTH IRA
      • ROTH Conversion
      • Tax Declassified Webinar
      • Qualified Charitable Donation
      • Business Tax Credit
    • Educational Webinars >
      • Taxes Declassified
      • Top 10 IRA Mistakes
      • Taxes in Retirement
      • 3 Economic Strategies
      • Five Key Areas of Retirement
    • Educational Videos
    • Documentaries
    • Recommendations
  • Planning
    • Retirement Analysis
    • Social Security >
      • Social Security Webinar
    • Pension Maximization
    • Risk Analysis and Investments
    • LifePro Asset Management
    • Federal Benefits >
      • Federal Benefit Kit
    • WA Retirement Systems
    • Business Tax Credit >
      • Research & Development Tax Credit
      • Employee Retention Tax Credit
      • Resources
  • Insurance
    • Annuities
    • Medicare >
      • Medicare Questionnaire
      • Medicare Clients
      • Medicare Networks
      • Medicare Rules
      • PEBB Benefits
    • Long-Term Care
    • Life Insurance >
      • Multi-Generational
      • Premium Financed
      • Final Expense
    • Health Insurance
    • Dental Insurance
    • Vision Insurance
  • Tools
    • Financial News Blog
    • Market Index Links
    • Market Simulations
    • Required Minimum Dist (RMD Calculator)
    • Calculators
    • Professional Referrals
    • Bankrate Interest Rates
    • Rate of Return Calculations
    • Zillow Home Value
    • Slides - Intro Step >
      • Slides - Hegna
      • Slides - Strategy
      • Slides - Taxes
      • Slides - Invest
      • Slides - Buffer
      • Slides - FIA
      • Slides - Income
      • Slides - Pension
      • Slides - ALL
  • Contact
    • Free Consultation
    • Schedule Appointment
    • Online Meeting
    • Secure Upload
    • Retirement Analysis (initial)
    • Retirement Software Client Portal
    • Application
    • Beneficiary Form
    • Rate our Service
    • Refer a Friend